Electoral scene

India has potential to capture a large share of global defense market: Mark Matthews 
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/expert-view/india-has-potential-to-capture-a-large-share-of-global-defense-market-mark-matthews/articleshow/110556289.cms

... FIIs have particularly loved, in fact the investing community has particularly loved the work done by this current government even in the second term. How much probability would you assign that once he comes in place the reform momentum which the Street was directly observing will continue in the same breath?
I think it will continue and, of course, much is contingent on how many seats the BJP are able to secure and my sense is that there are many good pollsters who are on the ground and getting a very fresh read of the votes at the exit stations and so if there is some disastrous result brewing, I believe those pollsters would have gotten wind of it by now and they are all in the employ of fund managers and fund managers would have been selling. So, I am not expecting a bad result for the government and I do expect a continuation of its reform policies.

Exit polls show Advantage BJP! D-Street to likely train its guns on these sectors https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/news/exit-polls-show-advantage-bjp-d-street-to-likely-train-its-guns-on-these-sectors/articleshow/110623997.cms  

ETMarkets analysed sectors that may see traction when markets resume trading on Monday.

PSU stocks across sectors are expected to remain in focus in the run-up to the result date and even after it. Counters in defence, railway, public sector banks (PSBs) may see a sharp upturn.

Ever since voting for the Lok Sabha election began, the market capitalisation of BSE PSU index has increased by nearly Rs 7 lakh crore with stocks of state-owned entities, now being categorised as "Modi stocks", rallying up to 87%.

 https://youtu.be/EkdeJ2lUQpo?t=594 Rajeev Rajan speaks on the pre result market..

Apparently, a fake news.
Does the EU carry out any such survey and then publish?
On which site it's hosted???

S Sen on WA:  A bit of crystal gazing at my end.
This is what I had noted on April 6th (ref.: < https://groups.google.com/g/greenyouth/c/qjnZc6x1-5A/m/vQCTjrIDAQAJ  >):
In 2014, the BJP had polled 31% of polled votes.
While this was pretty much slated to come down in 2019, it actually went up to 37% -- under the impact of Pulwama-Balakot.
This time, as yet, we had Ram Mandir: Modi has provided (homeless) Lord Ram an appropriate shelter. Then bursts forth the Electoral Bonds. Of course, the narratives of Vikash vs. Vinash form the larger backdrop. As compared to 2019, (i) the poison of Hindutva -- with a proactive state machinery at its service -- has spread wider and deeper and (ii) the "field" has turned significantly more tilted -- via the blatant weaponisation of ED, IT, CBI, ECI and also the mainstream media and the Courts largely going with the regime.

One significant "event" has taken place since then. The Prajjwal Revanna scandal that just burst forth in April end. The mainstream media has done its utmost to minimise the effects and reasons are hardly effective vis-a--vis unreasoned fanaticism.
Nevertheless there must have been some impact at least.

Even if Modi has done all that he could do -- leveraging his position of power and privilege -- to infuse poison of the most lethal sort and polarise, there's no Balakot this time. Not even any Anna Hazare or Baba Ramdev batting for him.
On the flip side we have free ration consisting of 5 kgs of food grains per month for eighty(?) crore "poor", many constructed toilets (particularly important for rural women as it saves one the worrisome bother of going to the field after darkness) and also houses under the PMAY scheme. This time there is also an entirely new and disturbing development that has taken place: the voting figures, as reported by the ECI, went up significantly in multiple instalments with the EC, for a long while, stubbornly refusing to share the absolute number of votes cast in glaring contravention of long-honoured past practice in this regard. Its actual reasons and implications are as yet unknown.

To cut it short, in 2019, BJP had won 303 seats and in 2014, 282 seats. 
Given the combination of underlying factors, which also include a considerably rejuvenated Congress with youthful Rahul Gandhi, presenting a very friendly and affable face, peddling 5 Nyays and 25 Guarantees in right earnest, at its head and higher opposition unity index than in '14 and '19 and also the MSM -- the electronic In particular -- turning pretty more grossly partisan, there should be no question whatever of repeating, let alone surpassing 303. Not even 282.
Between 200 and 250 should be the most likely envelope for the BJP and between 100 and 150 for the Congress.

However, actual results may very well throw up some (even big?) surprise -- either way.

एग्ज़िट पोल - पार्ट 2 | Exit Poll - Part 2 https://youtu.be/JCKWQcLd6-o  
Ravish Kumar Official

Loksabha Election 2024: 741 में से 150 DM धोखेबाज ,आ गया सच सामने!  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1CeT6HLmrs8 | Exit Poll | Election Commission News Nasha 

कांग्रेस नेता जयराम रमेश ने सोशल मीडिया प्लेटफॉर्म एक्स पर पोस्ट कर लिखा, ''निवर्तमान गृह मंत्री आज सुबह से जिला कलेक्टर से फोन पर बात कर रहे हैं. अब तक 150 अफसरों से बात हो चुकी है. अफसरों को इस तरह से खुल्लमखुल्ला धमकाने की कोशिश निहायत ही शर्मनाक है एवं अस्वीकार्य है.

Congress leader Rakesh Rakesh posted on social platform Media Till now talks have been held with 150 engineers. Such an attempt to create a blatant blast is extremely shameful and right.

मतगणना में धांधली की बीजेपी की तैयारी, कांग्रेस ने पूरा प्लान फेल कर दिया! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WMnj51Gnv2U 4PM

पायल कपाड़िया को बधाई देते हुए शर्म नहीं आई मोदी जी? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X7OKMbL3tmE  Navin Kumar
जिनको दी है बधाई उन्हें जेल में डलवाने पर आमादा थे चेले। फ़िल्म इंस्टीट्यूट में गजेंद्र चौहान ने पायल कपाड़िया और उनके साथियों की ज़िंदगी नर्क बना दी थी। आज भी चल रहा है मुक़दमा।

चुनावी नतीजों से ठीक पहले ‘द गार्जियन’ का ये खुलासा, पूरा चुनाव पलट देगा! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-T20CkkgAfQ 28.5.24 
नतीजों से ठीक पहले अंतर्राष्ट्रीय अखबार ‘द गार्जियन’ ने किया बड़ा खुलासा, पूरा खेल फुल एक्सपोज हो गया! सनसनीखेज खुलासे ने मचाया बवाल, 2024 लोकसभा चुनाव पलटा! सांतवे चरण की वोटिंग से ठीक पहले मोदी सरकार को बड़ा झटका! देखिए रिपोर्ट

https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/may/20/revealed-meta-approved-political-ads-in-india-that-incited-violence 

The Facebook and Instagram owner Meta approved a series of AI-manipulated political adverts during India’s election that spread disinformation and incited religious violence, according to a report shared exclusively with the Guardian.

Facebook approved adverts containing known slurs towards Muslims in India, such as “let’s burn this vermin” and “Hindu blood is spilling, these invaders must be burned”, as well as Hindu supremacist language and disinformation about political leaders. Another approved advert called for the execution of an opposition leader they falsely claimed wanted to “erase Hindus from India”, next to a picture of a Pakistan flag.

https://thewire.in/tech/meta-approved-ai-manipulated-political-ads-during-indias-election-report Fourteen out of 22 submitted adverts were approved, violating the company’s policies on hate speech and misinformation. Under Meta’s policies, political adverts have to go through a specific authorisation process before approval but only three of the submissions were rejected on this basis, according to the Guardian... Ekō found that each ad was accompanied by a manipulated image created with widely used AI image tools Stable Diffusion, Midjourney, and Dall-e. Researchers were able to easily generate images showing a person burning an electronic voting machine, drone footage of immigrants crowding India’s border crossing, as well as notable Hindu and Muslim places of worship on fire.

https://www.afaqs.com/news/advertising/meta-fails-hate-test-from-icwi-and-ek-approves-political-ads-inciting-violence-report  

Meta has faced accusations of inadequately curbing the dissemination of Islamophobic hate speech, incitement to violence, and anti-Muslim conspiracy theories on its platforms in India. In certain instances, such posts have resulted in real-life incidents of riots and lynchings.

Nick Clegg, Meta’s president of global affairs, characterised India's election as "a massive, massive test for us" and highlighted the extensive preparation the company had undertaken in India over several months. The company stated that it had broadened its network of local and third-party fact-checkers across all platforms and was operating in 20 Indian languages.