Economy & Equity
One of the biggest problems affecting middle-income groups is that their incomes have stopped growing at the rate at which their expenses are rising. There is no longer a corelation between productive work and income gains.
According to income tax data and other reports, the average income for middle-class earners has stayed around Rs 10.5 lakh per year for more than ten years now. Adjusted for inflation, the real value of their earnings has dropped sharply. https://scroll.in/article/1082346/a-hidden-debt-crisis-is-silently-wrecking-the-dreams-of-indias-middle-class
The consumer purchasing power of this income group has fallen by about one-third over the past decade. This means people can afford much less today than they could ten years ago, even though their salaries have stayed the same. As a result, many families are cutting down on essential expenses like healthcare, education and daily consumption just to balance their monthly budgets.
The constant stress of trying to manage monthly expenses with limited income is taking a mental toll. Many middle-class families live with daily financial anxiety – the worry of emergency expenses, the guilt of cutting corners and the fear of slipping further down the economic ladder. These burdens rarely appear in official statistics.
Government policy, so far, has not responded meaningfully. The new tax regime in Budget 2025 raised the zero-tax limit to Rs 12 lakh. While this sounds like major relief, it helps only those who do not claim exemptions and deductions.
Together, these data-trends show that the average middle class person is losing their economic strength and socio-emotional stability. What was once recognised as an aspirational class known for planning, saving, and striving is now borrowing, and struggling just to stay afloat and this indicates a serious concern.
15/05/2025
The wealthier the Indian families are, the lesser the income they report relative to their wealth, a paper by Ram Singh, Delhi School of Economics (DSE) director and a permanent member of the Monetary Policy Committee of the Reserve Bank of India, reveals, suggesting that wealthier families under-report their income.
“On average, the total income reported by the bottom 10 percent of individuals is more than 120% of their wealth; for the wealthiest five percent of individuals, it is just about 3.7 percent of their wealth”, the paper, Do the Wealthy Underreport their Income?, states.
The study gives insight into the stark reality of rising inequality in the country where Indians with means remain better placed to under-report their income, for instance, by under-reporting their rental income, or disguising their taxable income as tax-free, than Indians with lesser means.
by Udit Bubna
States are increasingly borrowing to finance subsidies. This reduces fiscal space for capital and other developmental expenditure, compromising long-term growth.
While subsidies can be effective tools for poverty alleviation and reducing inequality, their fiscal sustainability has become increasingly questionable, particularly in the challenging post-pandemic economic environment.
In a recent study (Amarnath et al. 2024), I along with my co-authors, analyse budgetary data from seven Indian states – Punjab, Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, Odisha, Andhra Pradesh, West Bengal and Nagaland – for the period between 2018-19 and 2022-23 https://theprint.in/opinion/state-subsidy-burden-india-fiscal-health/2551909/
Overview of findings
Overall, we see that revenue deficits have become persistent, and fiscal space has shrunk dramatically. States with revenue deficits are spending over 20 per cent of their revenue expenditure on subsidies, while their fiscal space has shrunk to less than 50 per cent of revenue receipts. Committed expenditures – including salaries, pensions, and interest payments – now consume over 80 per cent of revenue receipts in states like Punjab (81.5 per cent) and Kerala (71.8 per cent). This leaves limited room for developmental spending, a concern highlighted by recent analysis by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI, 2022).
India inhabits three different economic realities within its borders, India 1, the affluent and digitally empowered elite; India 2, the aspirational middle class caught in stagnation; and India 3, the invisible majority struggling for survival. https://thewire.in/economy/three-indias-economic-divide-mexico-indonesia-sub-saharan-africa
The Indus Valley Annual Report 2025, published by Blume Ventures, paints a striking picture of India’s economic landscape, not something we are completely unaware of, but confirming our fears of a deeper divide.
India 1: The wealthy elite driving growth
India1 represents the top 10% of earners, who enjoy access to global markets, financial investments, and premium consumption. They are the biggest beneficiaries of India’s digital public infrastructure, venture capital boom, and policy incentives favouring high-income sectors.
India 2: The aspirational yet struggling middle class
If India 1 is equivalent to Mexico in the world, India 2 is Indonesia, says the report.
The emerging aspirant class, heavy consumers yet reluctant payers. Comprising about 300 million people with a per capita income of US $ 3,000, this class includes salaried professionals, small business owners, and skilled workers. Unlike India 1, this group faces stagnant wages, rising costs, and limited social security.
Consumer spending is what drives India’s GDP, and this middle segment – not really ‘middle’ if one is to look at the exact numbers – the in-between segment’s share of discretionary spending is only one-third.
India’s Household share of savings has dropped from 84% in FY00 to just 61% in FY23, and now India has a much lower savings rate than its Asian peers at 30%, while China is at 44%. Indian’s financial savings have gone down to 5.1% in FY23 from 10.1% in FY00.
India 3: The Forgotten and Marginalised Majority
In Blume Venture’s consumer stack, if India 1 is Mexico, India 2 is Indonesia, then India 3 is Sub-Saharan Africa. Over 1 billion of the population remains excluded from India’s digital economy, financial growth, and policy priorities.
India 3 represents the daily wage earners, informal sector workers, and rural labourers, the forgotten and the marginalised. And they are definitely not the ideal consumers, with almost no income at their disposal on discretionary goods.
The harsh realities of India 3 are only visible when they die in large numbers in stampedes, in a pandemic, or simply of hunger.
This is the 90% informal workforce of India, which lacks any kind of job security, or health benefits. They are the ones currently powering India’s gig economy, without the fair wages, and labour rights. The access of this population to quality education and healthcare still remains a distant dream, leading to intergenerational poverty.
01/03/2025
The word 'freebies' reflects the class privilege of those using the term, including members of the judiciary, industrialists, business executives, journalists or people occupying high positions who deride social welfare schemes even as they themselves receive all kinds of benefits. https://thewire.in/law/justice-br-gavai-freebie-parasites-assault
During a hearing on civil writ petitions pertaining to provision of adequate shelter facilities to homeless persons in urban areas, Supreme Court Justice B.R. Gavai chose to criticise the practice of freebies for harming the national work ethic.
To think that a monthly cash transfer of Rs. 2000-3000 is enough to make the poor lazy defies logic and reason. If labourers are indeed not going to work, this is not because of free rations, they are just not getting decent wages for agricultural work. The latest Economic Survey points to stagnating or decreased rural wages.
The International Labour Organization (ILO) has found that there is a stark lack of decent employment opportunities in India. Cash transfers have been offered because severe unemployment afflicts the capitalist world, including India.
Many of the so-called freebies are a constitutional requirement for social and economic justice in a country that is ranked among the most unequal countries in the world. The World Inequality Database shows that economic inequality in India was higher than the colonial period, and termed it as a Billionaire Raj. India has not even been able to ensure that all its people receive basic food and nutrition, healthcare, housing, educational access, etc. In most other countries, universal access to reasonable quality goods and services that constitute basic needs is seen as the responsibility of the state, these are not viewed as freebies.
The government recently announced a slew of extra retirement benefits for Chief Justices of India and Supreme Court judges (not to be confused with freebies). Similarly, tax cuts given to the corporate sector are not to be confused with freebies. Even as many welfare schemes are seen as wasteful, there is predictable silence over the billions of rupees worth of bad loans, owed to the public sector banks, being written off the banks’ balance sheets.
There can’t be a better example of freebies than the write-offs of non-performing assets (NPAs) of large corporate loans in the last few years paid for by Indian taxpayers.
by Zoya Hasan
20/02/2025
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