Wake up, grand old party: Regional parties do not add up to a pan-Indian whole. Opposition desperately needs a Congress revamp
June 18, 2021, Pavan K Varma (PV) https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/blogs/toi-edit-page/wake-up-grand-old-party-regional-parties-do-not-add-up-to-a-pan-indian-whole-opposition-desperately-needs-a-congress-revamp/ -- It is sobering to remember that even in its shrunk state, Congress is still the principal opposition in states as far apart as Kerala and Assam... Even when reduced to just 52 seats in the Lok Sabha in the 2019 parliamentary elections, it garnered 12 crore votes (BJP got 22 crore) and 20% of the electoral vote share.
see https://youtu.be/wyiqOG5aKoE?t=829 where Shekhar Gupta (SG) tells why Congress is the only other horse -- 20% of the Congress is solid, so even if it increases to 25%, it will make a big difference. But it must be remembered that the Gandhi family is critical to the Congress party.
Comment: So someone will have to devise a way in which they are there, but they dont surround themselves with a coterie or isolate themselves from the rest of the power groups in the erstwhile Congress. For this the Congress as a whole (including G26), and in particular the Gandhi family, will have stop falling prey to machinations of the right wing and the mainstream media, by buying into the narratives as well as becoming transparent about their plans. For this the different Congresses would also need be transparent.. and take an accommodative stance.
Back to PV: Strong regional parties in Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Odisha, and West Bengal constitute 164 parliamentary seats.
Congress is directly posited against BJP in MP, Gujarat, Rajasthan, Punjab (where the Akali Dal is a factor), Chhattisgarh, Haryana, Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh and Karnataka (where the JDS is present too). These states account for around 150 seats. Here Congress Strike rate was 16% in 2014 to even lower in 2019 < SG: https://youtube.com/embed/wyiqOG5aKoE?start=423&end=70 >
PV: (big) If – Congress were to genuinely revamp itself, then, in conjunction with anti-BJP regional parties, and an entry in UP and Bihar, it could give BJP a run for its money in 2024.
Comment: Upto now that the mainstream media has been asking the Congress to make adjustments with the other parties. This usually runs into problems as each one is afraid to subsume their identities to the other.
Thanks to Prashant Kishore meeting with Sharad Pawar, there is speculation that the regional parties can be shown how they can form a solid block, based on federalism issues.. like GST, COVID, Elections schedules, planning and advisory bodies, central v/s state agencies, capture of institutions like governorships, judiciary, Human Rights and Caste institutions.
Such a formulation itself will switch around 4% of the votes in their own states to them, in 2024 as people dont want to "waste" their vote. Somehow they need to counter the narrative -- State me Hum, Centre me Modi. They also need to counter the "double engine" threat, by forming a solid opposition to centralisation of decision making.
So all in all, I think the Prashant Kishore exercise to highlight a decentralised, federal alternative, can lift issues to a higher plane.. and offer a more acceptable choice before the people.
Further, such a formulation will automatically give "Congress" more votes in the State where the Congress experiences a direct fight with the BJP . Unfortunately we will have spoil sports like in Punjab, and perhaps Odisha, even some parties in Up and Bihar, who have to taken a vigorous stand against the Congress in their states.
As Prashant Kishore has emphasised earlier, you need a face and a concrete programme which is presented to the public at least two years in advance, and not just six weeks before elections.
< https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IldCA4JLehw Unboxing with Prashant Kishor | What it takes to plan, execute and win an election Nov 15, 2018>
Unfortunately, the mainstream media has made us believe that only a strong centralised face will work. Vajpayee's dictum of "coalition dharma" is projected a personal trait, which only greats like him can carry. The events of the past 7 years has shown us that when you have a single centralised face, it has to vanquish opposition usually using undemocratic force. Also the constituency that supports it, feeds on so called "master-strokes" most of which take us away from democratic norms of functioning.
So an alternative which checks extreme concentration of authority and arbitrary power needs to be projected, and shown to be viable. ( Maharashtra for example).
Editorial With Sujit Nair: Does Prashant Kishor Have A Solution For The TINA Factor? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nJc5O4wNkZM According to Nair, Rahul Gandhi, Sharad Pawar, or even Mamta are not really seen as a viable alternative to the current dispensation. But there was one, in the UAPA model -- a viable alternative where the popular face and PM face of the alternative is bifurcated. You need a PM who can put his foot down, unlike Manmohan Singh, and the popular face which can keep the various factions together.
The alternative may not show a single face, but a bi-polar option, which itself is projected as desirable in order to check the extreme concentration of authority and arbitrary power. It must demonstrate that its opposition to Modi is backed up by a federal democratic and decentralised imperative. Here again we need to go to Prashant Kishore, who says that you need time to plan and execute the viability of the alternative. You need to set the agenda which the alternative will deliver to the masses..< see https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IldCA4JLehw
Unboxing with Prashant Kishor | What it takes to plan, execute and win an election >
Today, there are some concrete areas where the regional parties and Congress can prove how they can work together: a) COVID b) post COVID economic recovery, c) Migrant Labour, d) SMEs e) Using employment guarantee to target economic recovery and engaging educating youth in these spans through a special employment scheme for economic recovery projects. f) special inter-caste (or rather multi-caste) development schemes/services/enterprises at local and district level to break the cynical use to caste divisions in elections. After all you will recall that Modi started his campign by promoting the Vibrant Gujarat Narrative, after the internal polarisation of Gujarat!
Mahua Moitra in her interview with Shoma ChaudhuryL https://youtube.com/embed/qgTN5tShwGA?start=2589&end=2705 ( 2 mins ) says that to take on the BJP, the idea that you need a national party to take them on, gone. You can have a conglomeration of regional parties, where in each state the local party takes on the BJP. The Congress will be in four states. New notion in Indian politics..
आखिर राहुल गांधी की पालटिक्स है क्या? । RAHUL GANDHI । CONGRESS Jun 19, 2021 कांग्रेस नेता राहुल गांधी आज 51 साल के हो गए .आज भी बहुत से लोग उनकी पालटिक्स नही समझ पाते हैं ,क्या है उनकी पालटिक्स ?आज यही समझेंगे जनादेश चर्चा में शाम सात बजे . Saurabh Bajpai Rahul G has come up strongly on Communalism issue and the issue of Crony capitalism.. but the campaign of "pappu overshadowed.. Shravan Garg:
Before 2014 politics was nationa wide,pro poor .. petrol prices, inflation etc were big issues. Now politics is retricted to cow belt.. of ten states. Rahul G does not know how to do this politics. Congress does not have a good hindu leadership.. nor hs it projected hindu leadership.. also at the time of Manmohan Signh Rahul played the role of opposition. But now outside the govt he is not able to do opposition politics. a he is not able to do cow belt politics.. While he is in the congress, he is not in it..
Harjinder Singh: RG in response to "appu" tried to estabish himself as intelletual.. and not as a peoples man..
Sompal Shastri: https://youtube.com/embed/B2l8z6yQdjQ?start=1708&end=1984 Jun 13, 2021
The world's worst plastic. https://actions.sumofus.org/a/coal-to-plastic From the world's worst coal. the era of coal-fired power is over. But coal barons are planning to turn their unburnable coal into the dirtiest plastic on earth... Adani Enterprises has submitted plans to build a $4bn plant to convert coal dug from its bitterly opposed mine in Australia and turn it into toxic PVC plastic in India.
The world already has a plastics problem. And a climate crisis. Adani’s idea combines the two -- coal based plastics create triple the greenhouse emissions of conventional plastic.. One oil executive described coal-to-plastics plants as “massive CO₂ machines that make chemicals as a sidestream.”
Adani blasted over ‘toxic’ $4bn plan to use Australian coal to make plastic in India https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/jun/17/adani-blasted-over-toxic-4bn-plan-to-use-australian-coal-to-make-plastic-in-india The company is seeking environmental clearances to build the massive “coal-to-PVC” plant that will take up almost 3 sq km in Mundra, Gujarat..Adani enterprises said the coal will go through several stages of processing, creating calcium carbide and then acetylene, which is further processed to eventually produce PVC.
Environmental campaign group SumOfUs has launched a petition to pressure Adani’s financial backers to withdraw from the group over the coal-to-plastics project.
The group claimed the coal-to-plastics process was emissions intensive, and described the plans as toxic.
Egocracy, Digital Freedom & Data Privacy Parakala Prabhakar Jun 15, 2021 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-vFCdXwpNs Parakala deals with
1.Indian Government's attempts to throttle our freedom of expression on the digital platforms; (2020 saw 150 internet shutdowns 109 in India https://www.accessnow.org/issue/internet-shutdowns/)
2. the tech companies unbridled collection of our personal data without our consent, ( after rule 21- govt will be prosecutor and judge, will define "public order, security of the State, )
3. the safety of our data in the hands of both government and tech companies.( BN Srikirshna report of july https://prsindia.org/files/bills_acts/bills_parliament/Committee%20Report%20on%20Draft%20Personal%20Data%20Protection%20Bill,%202018.pdf
Bill not in line with BNK report.. In fact SNk has said that the draft, as it is, is "dangerous" still brought in . Sec25 is a problem..
Meanwhile on the Internaltional front--
India signs statement against ‘politically motivated internet shutdowns’ https://scroll.in/latest/997458/india-signs-statement-against-politically-motivated-internet-shutdowns
India signs statement against ‘politically motivated internet shutdowns’
India on Sunday signed a joint statement by G7 countries on “open societies”, which upholds “human rights for all, both online and offline” and the freedom of expression. The statement referred to “politically motivated internet shutdowns” as one of the threats to freedom and democracy.
However, India is a leading offender in this category. It recorded the highest number of internet shutdowns in the world in 2020, according to a report by digital rights and privacy organisation Access Now on March 3. Of the total 155 internet shutdowns globally, India alone accounted for 109, according to the report. The next highest was Yemen, with six shutdowns, and Ethiopia with four.
India a natural ally of G7 nations, says Modi, calls for ‘democratic values’ in cyberspace https://scroll.in/latest/997441/india-a-natural-ally-of-g7-nations-says-modi-calls-for-democratic-values-in-cyberspace Invited as a lead speaker to the session on open societies and economies, Modi stressed on the need to ensure that cyberspace remains an avenue for advancing democratic values and not for subverting it, the prime minister’s office said.
The prime minister called upon technology companies and social media platforms to ensure a safe cyber environment for the users, Additional Secretary (economic relations) of the Foreign Ministry, P Harish, said in a press briefing on the G7 summit. The comments assume significance on the domestic front also, as the Centre and social media companies tussle over the implementation of new information technology rules.
For other articles in this blog: http://emeets.lnwr.in/index.php/digital-democracy
Even though the officially stated policy is to trust the tax payer, the app has so many cross checks which signify that they dont trust us.
Most of the errors are because the portal tries to trip you up at every entry. Do you really need to check if a person is "minor" online? Why cant you just give a message rather than block that entry. These things can be cleaned up by BOTS/ AI Algorithms later...
I don't understand this obsession in having an completely online system. For example the income tax portal could be de-centralised, where income tax consultants and CAs can have independent hosts based on a platform created by Infosys where every transaction is block chained.. and there is a daily batch processing update of the main portal.
Plus only minimum verifications/checks need to be piped through the decentralised system.
After that BOT an be made to scrutinise each app, and raise red flags. Customer must be assured that they will get a notification that each red flag will be communicated to them and they given an opportunity to correct their entries, again through the block chained off line systems.
Govt. can encourage young B Coms to set up kiosks, or portable guides, thus creating WFH opportunities
40 issues with the IT portal: https://taxguru.in/income-tax/issues-income-tax-portal-www-incometax-gov-in.html
Even after a snub from finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman, the technical issues of this new portal remain unresolved. So much so the Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) department had to allow filing form 15CA/15CB (required for foreign remittances) in manual format instead of filing it on the new portal.
Almost every user has been complaining of technical issues from the very first day and even after a week the glitches continue. Taxpayers are unable to view past e-filed returns and many features continue to be displayed as ''coming soon''.https://www.moneylife.in/article/income-tax-new-portal-continues-to-frustrate-users-with-technical-issues/64228.html
https://worldlocalizationday.org/ Localization is a new human story founded on the principles of connection and diversity.
A thought for the Localisation day workshop.. As a layman, more ideologically incline, I believe that the way Big tech is planning roll out of 5G seems to do overcome the main issues of High band, High Spped, High density local transmission into one that is connected so as to "centralise" ( ie applications across vertical markets such as manufacturing, healthcare, and transportation, where 5G will play a major role in everything from advanced manufacturing automation to fully autonomous vehicles. https://www.digi.com/blog/post/5g-network-architecture )
As a persons who believes in subsidiarity, I feel that the more of our techies should work on developing local servers, connected to devices on rooftops, or pillons which are in turn connected by LAN or wire to homes/offices or even street devices like webcams , . This I suppose will greatly reduce the radiation inside homes and offices and at the street level.
5 G can also be used to create local consumer and producer groups, as well as cultural organisations, if local servers provide applications for e tailing, home services, local transport. The local servers can in turn process on batch processing basis services and good from or to a larger area.
The same logic will work for social media.. where perhaps the density and intensity of message is more local, and the wider global can be reached through piping and interfaceable applications rather than the large unipolar apps like whats app.
I have not been able to convince young techies to work on this approach, even though it provides better and more distributed employment opportunities, because they feel they cannot fight the system, or the efficiency of the centralised system. Can we work towards enabling inspiring our youngsters, many of whom have dropped out of IT companies, and are now doing farming.. Perhaps they can use their knowledge to further a more human scale IT arhitecture..
Parakala Prabhakar https://youtu.be/PiiK4S47tM4?t=86 The ruling dispensation seems to be mired in a shamanic view of COVID. Also the planning for the post covid economy seems to be limited to talk about e mobility, next gen batteries, artificial intelligence, and 5G technologies. No bread and butter issues, that afflict the marginal and vulnerable today or in the next few years..
There is very little post pandemic scenario planning, and the parliamentary committee on Finance reportedly expressed dissatisfaction the Niti Aayog presentation, while it spoke of two extreme possibilities, did not outline anything about what India could need to do.. Public Universities are also not working on post pandemic scenarios..
Obscurantist narratives prevail in the current dispensation which has lead to underestimation of the challenge and overestimation of our exceptionalism.. preceding an assault on scientific temper.
Ref: Preparing for a post Pandemic Economy: from Sunset to Sunrise areas of growth.. amitabh kant 4th March 2021 http://emeets.lnwr.in/index.php/covid/813-preparing-for-a-post-pandemic-economy-from-sunset-to-sunrise-areas-of-growth
Ref: Indian economy to bounce back soon from effects of COVID-19: NITI Aayog Vice Chairman https://dst.gov.in/indian-economy-bounce-back-soon-effects-covid-19-niti-aayog-vice-chairman
For other posts on COVID see: http://emeets.lnwr.in/index.php/covid
On Economy & Equity see http://emeets.lnwr.in/index.php/economy-equity
In spite of Public Sector Banks doing a yeomen services, disbursing direct benefit transfers, Insurance schemes, all Govt schemes and lost more than 1300 employees, NITI AAYOG is still talking of Privatisation which is going to lead to disaster. In the last 7 years of NDA, the NPA has gone up to Rs.1143354 Cr out of which major component is large loans.
What is needed now?
Ask Banks to increase branches and staff and lend more to poor and lower middle class at concessional rate of Interest. Loans below Rs.5 lakh will make a lot of difference.
Bear the Interest portion through interest subvention and reintroduce Interest subvention for Gold Loans.
Allow restructuring of existing Loans where it is needed. Except large loans above Rs.100 crores, all loans to be restructured case by case.
Launch special long term loans for Health infrastructure, Housing, MSMEs, Youth, Women and Farmers.
Announce that No Privatisation of Banks in near future and 5-day week for Bankers which will enthuse and energize them.
Introduce Super Rich Tax.
Reduce prices on Petrol, diesel & Gas helping people to spend on other things.
Provide Rs.7500 to those who are not taxpayers per month for 6 months.
Recruit more people in Govt, Public Sector undertakings and Banks.
Above all, accept mistakes and dismantle Aniti Ayog and introduce a Development Council with well-meaning people as done in Tamilnadu by the new Chief Minister.
Thomas Franco is former General Secretary of All India Bank Officers’ Confederation.
The WhatsApp move to sue the Indian government is a red herring https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/opinion/the-whatsapp-move-to-sue-the-indian-government-is-a-red-herring-6948131.html MONIKA KRISHAN MAY 27, 2021 While user actions are constantly being tracked, recorded , quantified and analysed, AI companies (eg: Amazon Web Services) remain notoriously secretive about the processes.. States push for rapid AI development across multiple domains of civilian and defense applications, the prospect of an AI-dominated world looms large. An AI-dominated world would essentially be an AI-Corporation-dominated world ..The use of cloud systems to store vast quantities of both civilian and defense data would make states even more vulnerable to corporate nudging...
If democratic states and indeed democracy is to survive it would do well for nations to: a) resist the temptation to place all their intellectual and economic eggs in the AI basket, b) renew their vows to uphold the principles of democracy so as to build deeper ties with their citizens based on mutual trust, and c) work together to encourage tech companies to adopt a more inclusive and evolved standard of engagement with customers
Comment: political institutions must address the threat that state power itself poses to the liberty and security of individuals..
To meet this threat constitutional government is the principal institutional instrument. Constitutional government is to be limited through a combination of public rules delineating the boundaries of legitimate state authority (rule of law), devices for fracturing state power to keep it from transgressing those boundaries (federalism, separation of powers), and arrangements for monitoring government conduct for possible transgressions (judicial review, legislative supremacy).(https://www.humansfuture.org/politics_power_abuse.htm )
Since Artificial Intelligence and Data Sovereignity is also power, there is need to seperation of powers between Corporates, Government and other democratic systems; due process and procedures. Most important the user or the citizen should be the primary focus of decision making. So while it is fair that the Platforms take a decision about content in their own platform, but when the platforms reach of position of power by becoming the vehicle of free speech, it should follow the basic principle that :justice must not only be done it should be seen to be done. Unfortunately, both State and Corporate prefer back-room dealings, so that each can serve their own power: the former - political and the latter commercial. Thus the third sector.. namely the "people sector" or civil society must have a bigger role in the new dispensation ( fact checking sites, algorithyms for example have become an important vehicle of civil power ) . Unfortunately here also we have seen, corporates, the media, as well as government conspiring to limit this empowerment. For example the recent closure of the Amnesty International in India has not shaken the democractic consciense of the judiciary as well.
The middle class and the media has cried hoarse about the "law of the land" forgetting the dictum the father of the nation gave us.. https://www.crf-usa.org/black-history-month/gandhi-and-civil-disobedience When the Boer legislature passed a law requiring that all Indians register with the police and be fingerprinted, Gandhi, along with many other Indians, refused to obey the law. He was arrested and put in jail, the first of many times he would be imprisoned for disobeying what he believed to be unjust laws.
While in jail, Gandhi read the essay “Civil Disobedience” by Henry David Thoreau, a 19th-century American writer. Gandhi adopted the term “civil disobedience” to describe his strategy of non-violently refusing to cooperate with injustice, but he preferred the Sanskrit word satyagraha (devotion to truth).
three-part series on the 'Fourth Industrial Revolution', the World Economic Forum's 'Great Reset' plan (being pushed aggressively under cover of the Covid crisis) and their influence on Indian policy.
When the ‘Fourth Industrial Revolution’ Comes Knocking
Why is the Indian government promoting job-destroying ‘smart’ automation when the country is reeling from the worst unemployment crisis in recent history?
https://www.newsclick.in/when-fourth-industrial-revolution-comes-knocking
The Great Reset: Davos Playbook for Post-COVID World
For decades, the World Economic Forum has been trying to influence global policy in favour of the world’s financial super-elite. Thanks to the global crisis unleashed by the pandemic and lockdowns, it may finally have found a way to do it.
https://www.newsclick.in/the-great-reset-davos-playbook-post-COVID-world
Farm Laws, Atmanirbhar Bharat, and the ‘Great India Reset’
The Modi government and India’s business elite are keen to embrace the World Economic Forum’s ambitious plans to shape the post-COVID world. However, the farmers’ protests may enforce a pause.
https://www.newsclick.in/farm-laws-atmanirbhar-bharat-great-indian-reset
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