Electoral scene

https://youtu.be/ctjmkKMD210?t=46 Abhijit Gangopadhyay  Kapil Sibal discusses with a panel of leading independent-minded lawyers the problem of sitting judges developing political links. Recently, Justice Abhijit Gangopadhyay quit the Calcutta High Court and joined the Bharatiya Janata Party. While on the bench too, his judgments, obiter and interviews generated controversy. How should the legal community respond in such cases? And is it ever possible to insulate the judiciary from politics? Listen in to Sibal’s conversation with Meenakshi Arora, Prashant Bhushan and Dushyant Dave.

Yogendra Yadav ki Class: The Truth about the India Today Survey | BJP | Lok Sabha Elections 2024  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DbpjBwivhmE 

CATI Interview as a base for such surveys, which means that till now 25 % people do not have telephone.  

Margin of error 2%.. this margin is equivalent to at least 40 seats.So the sruvey which says 304 seats, means that the margin of error could bring this down. This survey says that at macro level error margin is 3% & at local level error could be 5%.

On economic situation, the response question the seat estimation.

https://www.indiatoday.in/magazine/cover-story/story/20230904-india-today-mood-of-the-nation-poll-modi-all-set-to-return-2426489-2023-08-25 The August 2023 edition of the biannual India Today-CVoter Mood of the Nation (MOTN) Survey predicts that Modi and the BJP are heading towards a third consecutive win with a full majority. The BJP on its own is expected to win 287 seats ..

The India Today Mood of the Nation (MOTN) poll was conducted by CVoter, a globally renowned name in the field of socio-economic research, between July 15, 2023, and August 14, 2023, interviewing 25,951 respondents in all Lok Sabha segments across all states. In addition to these samples, an additional 134,487 interviews from CVoter’s regular tracker data between January 16, 2023, and August 14, 2023, were also analysed for the long-term trendline in calculating seat and vote share projections. Thus, the opinion of a total of 160,438 respondents was considered for this MOTN report. The margin of error is +/- 3 per cent at the macro level and +/- 5 per cent at micro level of reporting with 95 per cent confidence level.

https://www.reuters.com/world/india/obscure-trust-links-indias-top-businesses-with-modis-election-war-chest-2024-03-14/ Obscure trust links India's top businesses with Modi's election war chest By Krishn Kaushik Public records and party reports show BJP's war chest has swelled since Modi became prime minister in 2014, from 7.8 billion rupees ($94.09 million) in March 2014 to 70.4 billion rupees in March 2023. Congress' funds increased from from 5.38 billion rupees to 7.75 billion rupees in the same time period.
The financing gap between the BJP and Congress is a cause of concern, said Jagdeep Chhokar of Association of Democratic Reforms, a Delhi-based civil society group that was the main petitioner behind the electoral bonds challenge in the Supreme Court.
"Level playing field is an essential part of democracy," he said.
March 14, 2024

Comment by SS in WA: Electoral donations of considerably large amounts may take any of the following forms:
1. Cheque payment.
2. Via specially constituted trusts.
3. Electoral Bonds.
4. Underhand cash payments.

The first three, whatever other issues, are "white" and, consequently, the political parties have to account for the expenditure of these amounts.
However, it's largely held, that the bulk of the electoral expenditures are in "black" -- neither "receipt" is acknowledged nor "expenditure" is accounted for.

In fact, it should not escape our attention that till now no Electoral Bond has been linked to the Adani

The Bharatiya Janata Party is the largest advertiser, having spent Rs 30.9 crore so far in March. The Indian National Congress spent Rs 18.8 lakh during the same period.

https://thewire.in/politics/google-ads-political-parties-bjp-lok-sabha 

18/03/2024