'Peak Reached But Plateauing at High Level; Total Cases Could Hit 32M by June With 1 L More Deaths' https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xsRZxmqtK8I
In an interview that contains both good and depressing news, one of America’s foremost epidemiologists, who has closely monitored the trajectory of Covid-19 in India since the start of the pandemic last year, says it does seem that the present Covid surge has reached its peak but, thereafter, we are plateauing at a very high level of cases per day. Bhramar Mukherjee, Professor of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Global Public Health at Michigan University, says that two weeks from now (i.e. end May/early June) India’s daily increase in Covid cases will be between 150,000 and 200,000. At that point the daily increase in deaths will be 3,000 a day. At the moment the daily increase in cases is 325,000 and daily deaths are just under 4,000.
The numbers are not accurate. Each state needs to be evaluated different. The absolute numbers are still quite astounding..
Maharashtra: yes, as it is doing a lot of tests, and the positivity rate is going down. Delhi is also though it is less clear as it is doing less testing.. there is a genuine decline.
Rural India: appalled at the quality of data.. very hard to say what is the situation without data.
India denying community transmission saying it is only cluster transmission - no semblence of science in this statement. Cases coming down at a reasonably good rate.. It will take a long time for hospital requirements to go down to earlier levels...Need to plan a nuanced exit plan of the Lockdown.
https://epaper.thehindu.com/Home/ShareArticle?OrgId=G6U8I2LSN.1