Basic explanation of concepts
Infodemic: From Negligence to Fear..
Stages of Control:
Eradication ( will not happen for COVID, international Cooperation is needed)
Elimination (iNot foreseable as 0 to 18 years is not being vaccination, vaccination is voluntary) -
Control ( we can only control, and make it endemic and have manageable, develop medical infrastructure ) Herd Immunity- (antibodies through Infection and Vaccination.) What is the herd immunity Threshold? For COVID it is estimated to be 60-70%)
India? Serological Survey to find out which antibodies do we have. In june 20, Aug-Sept 20, 3rd Dec-Jan - apparently 21.4 % have developed antibodies) In Delhi 56%have antobodies https://youtu.be/8sxtgukyqeg?t=3146
Possible dates for Control on second wave : aug-sept 2021. Complete Vaccination by mid 2022. But we will need a third vaccination after six months, and perhaps every year.
For earlier documentation and Conversations on COVID, see http://emeets.lnwr.in/index.php/covid