Lok Sabha Prediction| ‘Big Question: Will BJP Cross Majority Mark?’ - Sanjay Kumar, CSDS https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XJuA9fB5Gyk May 20, 2024 #theindiastory #vikramchandra #loksabhaelection2024
Fifth phase of Lok Sabha elections 2024 has concluded, and with this, the world’s largest democratic exercise has reached its penultimate phase. India is just two weeks away from the big verdict. Where do the elections stand now, after the completion of five phases? What could the next two phases have in store?

In April :CSDS survey predicts Modi 3.0, but what will the seat tally look like?  https://www.indiatoday.in/opinion/story/csds-survey-predicts-modi-30-but-what-will-the-seat-tally-look-like-opinion-2527522-2024-04-15 Apr 15, 2024  the BJP is projected to increase its vote share from around 37 per cent in 2019 to 40 per cent in 2024. On the other hand, the Indian National Congress is also expected to record an increase in vote share from around 19 per cent in 2019 to 21 per cent this time. The BJP’s allies are slated to record a six per cent vote share this time, while INDIA allies are expected to record 13 per cent. Non-aligned parties/Others are expected to get a 20 per cent vote share in 2024.

Recently, Prashant Kishor was seen speaking about the BJP's potential return to power. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1PshxrZagCc  Mr Kishore seems to be stuck the the presidential mode of campaigning, AND PLANNING. RG has been saying that he is for a down up system, where he will take others with him. In such a scheme things RG seems to be carrying others with him. He is under no illusion that it is a difficult path.. but he has chosen it..

"BJP Won't Cross 272 Seats": Yogendra Yadav's Antithesis to Prashant Kishor's Lok Sabha Prediction https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DBfi-85VDG4 The Wire May 21, 2024 #yogendrayadav #bjp #thewire In an exclusive interview with The Wire, Yogendra Yadav claimed that the BJP will not win 272 seats in Lok Sabha. In this interview with Arfa Khanum Sherwani, Yogendra Yadav is analyzing the first five phases of the elections. Yogendra Yadav stated that the BJP would suffer losses in Bihar, UP, Telangana, and other southern states.  When Yogendra Yadav was asked about this, listen to what he had to say.
योगेन्द्र यादव ने द वायर को दिये ख़ास इंटरव्यू में दावा किया कि भाजपा 272 सीटें नहीं जीत रही। Arfa Khanum Sherwani के साथ इस इंटरव्यू में योगेन्द्र यादव पहले पाँच चरणों के चुनावों का विश्लेषण कर रहे है। बिहार, UP, तेलंगाना समेत दक्षिण के अन्य राज्यों में भाजपा को नुक़सान होगा ऐसा Yogendra Yadav ने कहा। 
हाल ही में प्रशांत किशोर मीडिया चैनलों पर भाजपा के सत्ता वापसी की बात करते दिखे, योगेन्द्र यादव से जब इस बारे में पूछा गया तब सुन लीजिए उन्होंने क्या जवाब दिया।

Inside the BJP’s WhatsApp Machine  https://pulitzercenter.org/stories/inside-bjps-whatsapp-machine

Abhishek Kumar, a senior fact-checker at the Indian nonprofit Alt News, told Rest of World that “the information spread with this particular Old video of polics shown immediately after Ram Mandir inauguration, claiming to be current)  video is not only false, but it also glorifies police brutality and is being shared praising it.”

Kiran Garimella, an assistant professor at Rutgers University who researches WhatsApp in India, told Rest of World the app reaches people that other platforms don’t, including remote communities. “There are a number of people in India who only use WhatsApp,” he said.

According to a report in the Deccan Herald, there are now at least 5 million WhatsApp groups operated by the BJP in India. Unnamed party leaders told the Herald the BJP’s WhatsApp infrastructure is so powerful that it can disseminate information from Delhi to any location in the country within 12 minutes.

Garimella, the Rutgers researcher, said the BJP’s “extreme coordination” and prowess on WhatsApp could benefit them. The closed nature of WhatsApp — only people in a group can see the content shared there — is also a concern. Unlike social media platforms such as X or Facebook, conversation in WhatsApp groups is usually hidden from public view, and largely goes unmoderated and unscrutinized.

There is a strict hierarchy to the BJP’s operations. Every day, the party’s offices in New Delhi send messages to be shared across groups at regional and local levels. Bragta, who is based in Himachal Pradesh's capital city, Shimla, said he religiously looks at updates from Delhi in the morning to understand what narrative-building is supposed to be done for the day. He also hosts daily half-hour meetings with workers across the state. “We discuss issues and get feedback,” he said. “While sitting in Shimla, I will not get to know about Himachal. They will tell me.”

Garimella, the Rutgers University researcher, told Rest of World the lack of pro-Congress or anti-BJP WhatsApp messages was consistent with his findings from previous research on WhatsApp in a village in the state of Jharkhand, which is known for frequent incidents of communal violence. “We have also seen in our database that pro-Congress or anti-BJP content does not exist. It is less than 1%,” he said. “These guys [the BJP] are so well-coordinated that the opposition doesn’t have any comparable infrastructure.”

Singh, the former BJP consultant, told Rest of World that by dominating WhatsApp, the BJP had effectively completed its capture of mass media in India. “It is concerning, because it distorts the level playing field,” he said. “The narrative of other parties is not reaching the public because they do not have distribution in place. Better narrative does not ensure a win, better distribution does.”

BJP को अब RSS की ज़रूरत नहीं? ये क्या कह गए नड्डा! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SXR4TXLTg6A Ravish Kumar Officia

https://indianexpress.com/article/political-pulse/nadda-on-bjp-rss-ties-we-have-grown-more-capable-now-the-bjp-runs-itself-9336205/ Nadda on BJP-RSS ties: We have grown, more capable now… the BJP runs itself
Says party has no plan for temples at the disputed sites in Mathura and Kashi..  RSS is a cultural and social organisation and we are a political organisation… It’s not the question of need. It’s an ideological front. Woh ideologically apna kaam karte hain, hum apna. We are managing our affairs in our own way. And that’s what political parties should do.”